Diagnostic Class Starter!
Over the past half century, about what percent of incumbents* are reelected to Congress?
This is our first ever diagnostic class starter which means you can enter your answers in the google from below and then check your answers to see how you did. Or. if that all sounds like a little much, just answer the questions like usual!
How accurate was your prediction?
What most surprised you about this data?
What is the big story this chart tells?
Why do you think that is?
What is one consequence of this?
How does this impact U.S. policy?
Is this good news, bad news, neither, or both?
Based on this chart alone, make one prediction about incumbents and the 2018 midterm elections:
If you were to draw this chart twenty years into the future what would it look like:
Have US incumbent reelection rates always been this high? (see bonus chart below.)
Imagine a world where there were no incumbents (in other words, you were not allowed to run for reelection EVER) what would that political system look like and who would it empower?
No matter what happens in the the next election, the big winners will be incumbents. Who will the big losers be?
List the top three reasons that incumbents win.
Let's say that you wanted to take away some of these incumbent advantages, who would have to pass the laws to take away those advantages?
In the most recent decades, presidents get reelected at about a 66% rate. Explain why the reelection rate of POTUSes is lower than that of Congress.
Explain whether you believe our current president will be reelected:
Explain whether you believe our current president should be reelected:
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You must have a few questions about this chart. Write down a question that comes to mind:
Based on the data, what assumptions would you make about the popularity of Congress today?